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Post by Returnofstevefitz on Sept 5, 2024 9:42:52 GMT -5
Cubs are a .514 Team. Cubs played .512 Ball, last year ( 83 Wins) DBacks & Marlins played .519 Ball, last year (84 Wins) Cubs have 22 game remaining. If the Cubs play .500 (11-11) the rest of the way, they will win 83 Games. If the Cubs play .546 (12-10) they will have improved, from last year. If the Cubs play .636 (13-9) the rest of the way, they will win 86 Games. If the Cubs play .682 (15-7) the rest of the way, they will win 87 Games. If the Cubs play .818 ( 18-4) the rest of the way, they will win 90 Games. www.denverpost.com/2012/10/23/rocktober-when-the-rockies-accomplished-the-impossible-in-2007/Over the course of 29 days in September and early October, the Rockies won 21 games and lost just once
Does any of this get them in the postseason? If not, no postseason 4 straight years and 8 years will have passed since 2016.... approaching a DECADE, yeesh |
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Post by kfidd on Sept 5, 2024 9:51:10 GMT -5
Those two losses against Pittsburgh were absolute soul crushers. Lost two games on the Mets and 1.5 on the Braves as a result. Time is not on our side nor are our opponents over the next six games.
It venture a better than 50% chance we are 6.5 back this time next week. But even if not and they the pace there will be just 16 games remaining. The odds are stacked here.
Here’s a question to ponder. Obviously we want that final wild card spot. When the odds are so unlikely at this point and we need every imaginable advantage we can get, can they afford to keep starting Paredes right now?
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Post by Returnofstevefitz on Sept 5, 2024 10:06:01 GMT -5
Those two losses against Pittsburgh were absolute soul crushers. Lost two games on the Mets and 1.5 on the Braves as a result. Time is not on our side nor are our opponents over the next six games. It venture a better than 50% chance we are 6.5 back this time next week. But even if not and they the pace there will be just 16 games remaining. The odds are stacked here. Here’s a question to ponder. Obviously we want that final wild card spot. When the odds are so unlikely at this point and we need every imaginable advantage we can get, can they afford to keep starting Paredes right now? I say yes because he's still giving you good defense, but I'd stop batting him in the top 5. They're still winning games with him so, yes. I do NOT want Wisdom out there every day LOL |
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Post by trav768 on Sept 5, 2024 20:31:10 GMT -5
Braves lose 3-1
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Post by skokiejoe on Sept 5, 2024 20:58:43 GMT -5
WC3 Standings
Braves 76-64 …. Lost 1
Mets 76-64 …. Won 7
Cubs 72-68 4.0GB Won 1
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Post by kfidd on Sept 5, 2024 21:11:12 GMT -5
Might as well keep believing! Unfortunately the Braves and Mets have will face each other at the end of the month meaning someone is guaranteed to win some games there. Really need them to both start losing in the short term if there’s to be any hope. That of course couple with AT LEAST 4-2 against the Yanks and Dodgers. If they can manage that then they have to bust out an incredible stretch or SWEEPS.
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Post by malagacubs on Sept 5, 2024 23:28:35 GMT -5
Might as well keep believing! Unfortunately the Braves and Mets have will face each other at the end of the month meaning someone is guaranteed to win some games there. Really need them to both start losing in the short term if there’s to be any hope. That of course couple with AT LEAST 4-2 against the Yanks and Dodgers. If they can manage that then they have to bust out an incredible stretch or SWEEPS. I am staying positive but... They had a really good stretch noe and may ultimately run out of gas. The key factor or one of them is Steele's unfortunate injury, albeit not severe. Everytime we marcha the Prof out I dread it but there are no other solutions. |
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Post by 2mileshighillini on Sept 5, 2024 23:47:35 GMT -5
Let's say we were getting fucked up at some honky tonk on the 4th of July. Cubs had just lost 2 to the Phillies (Wesneski & Imanaga), with today's game remaining. With the loss at Wrigley last night, Cubs fell to their Season Low (11 Games Under) What if you slurred, "We Suck"?And then I replied, "I don't believe it. We should be WAY better than this".And then, you went off, into a "Trade everybody. Fire everybody" tantrum?
So I snap back, "Look, I said we're good. I'll bet you $100, we're gonna..."
1) Win more games than last year.
2) Play .600 the rest of the way. (75 Games)
3) Have the #1 Starters
4) Have the #1 Relievers
5) Have a Top 5 Offense, the last 2 Months
6) See PCA play like MVP
7) See Amaya as a key contributor
8) See Happ have his greatest Season, ever.
9) Place 8 Starters on the IL ( a few of them, twice -- But only 2 after today) 
10) Place 10 Relievers on the IL (But only 3 after today)
And
11) Have that record, while playing the:
Phillies, Orioles, Cardinals, DBacks, Brewers, Royals, Cardinals, Twins, Guardians, Tigers, Yankees, Dodgers & Phillies?
(39 of our remaining 75 games vs (+.500) teams in a desperate Playoff Mode)
12) Go 17-14 (.548) against those teams, through Aug (.600 vs AL)
You takin' that bet? |
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Post by malagacubs on Sept 6, 2024 3:07:09 GMT -5
Looks bleak but not impossible, I'm already thinking about the offseason. Even if we slide in on luck I think we'll be one & done. 🤷♂️🤷♂️
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Post by thisbuds4u on Sept 6, 2024 4:13:52 GMT -5
Looks bleak but not impossible, I'm already thinking about the offseason. Even if we slide in on luck I think we'll one & done. 🤷♂️🤷♂️ If you go to MLB.com and look at the standings, the expected wins and losses [X W/L], the Cubs would be tied for the 3rd WC spot. The same could be said for last season also. After 2 years of Hoyer's inability to build a solid team, a change needs to be made. |
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Post by malagacubs on Sept 6, 2024 4:37:05 GMT -5
Looks bleak but not impossible, I'm already thinking about the offseason. Even if we slide in on luck I think we'll one & done. 🤷♂️🤷♂️ If you go to MLB.com and look at the standings, the expected wins and losses [X W/L], the Cubs would be tied for the 3rd WC spot. The same could be said for last season also. After 2 years of Hoyer's inability to build a solid team, a change needs to be made. There's the rub, what does Ricketts do with Jed. If I were a betting man (which I'm not), I would speculate Jed gets another 5 years to finish the job. But that's not my wish or desired outcome. |
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Post by thisbuds4u on Sept 6, 2024 5:12:39 GMT -5
If you go to MLB.com and look at the standings, the expected wins and losses [X W/L], the Cubs would be tied for the 3rd WC spot. The same could be said for last season also. After 2 years of Hoyer's inability to build a solid team, a change needs to be made. There's the rub, what does Ricketts do with Jed. If I were a betting man (which I'm not), I would speculate Jed gets another 5 years to finish the job. But that's not my wish or desired outcome. I worry that Hoyer will make moves in desperation to save his job. The Candelario trade cost the Cubs Herz and Paredes ended up costing Morel and Bigge. It's hard to get excited about the Cubs top prospects in the minors when the POBO would rather hang onto unproductive players instead of promoting his top minor leaguers who are supposedly the future. |
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Post by skokiejoe on Sept 6, 2024 21:08:51 GMT -5
WC3 Standings
Braves 77-64 …. Won 1
Mets 77-64 …. Won 8
Cubs 72-69 5.0GB Lost 1
WSOX lose 32-110
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Post by foolforthecity on Sept 6, 2024 22:03:28 GMT -5
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Post by Mike on Sept 6, 2024 22:39:38 GMT -5
5.0 GB in the wildcard (without any tie breaks, so essentially 6)
5.0 GB in the division... Time for the brew crew to come back down to earth!
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Post by bryzzobrist on Sept 7, 2024 0:43:12 GMT -5
5.0 GB in the wildcard (without any tie breaks, so essentially 6) 5.0 GB in the division... Time for the brew crew to come back down to earth! 9 back for the cubbies in the nlc right now. Saw the 5 and got all excited for a sec. Last year we were at over 90% to make the playoffs at one time iirc. Likely missing out this season as well is rough. |
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Post by thisbuds4u on Sept 7, 2024 2:08:45 GMT -5
WC3 Standings Braves 77-64 …. Won 1 Mets 77-64 …. Won 8 Cubs 72-69 5.0GB Lost 1 WSOX lose 32-110 The D-Backs could end up behind the Braves and Mets by Sunday. Their record is 79-63. The Padres are 81-62, so they can be caught also. It looks like a 4 team race for 3 WC spots. |
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Post by Mike on Sept 7, 2024 2:46:35 GMT -5
My bad
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Post by kfidd on Sept 7, 2024 8:01:28 GMT -5
You got us all pretty jazzed there for a second. 😂 |
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Post by kfidd on Sept 7, 2024 8:05:44 GMT -5
The chase is pretty much dead but I still think regardless of whether you are trying to make the wild card or plan for next year they need to bench Paredes. He is doing nothing positive to support either of those narratives. I’d get really creative here for the final three weeks.
1B Bellinger
3B Busch
RF Caissie
Caissie immediately gets some starting chops and Busch gives us a glimpse of how he can handle third base without much practice as just another potential option for the offseason. There is literally nothing to lose by trying some different things right now and everything to gain.
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